West Australia Electricity Market Intelligence

West Australia Electricity Market Description

46 percent capacity of the South Western Interconnected System (SWIS) is owned by Synergy. Private players in the mining industry also own the majority of off-grid generation capacity. 97 percent of Transmission & Distribution (T&D) is owned by Western Power, followed by Horizon Power, which owns 3 percent. Increase in prices of natural gas have has an impact on the generation cost, which is expected to ease as export restrictions come into practice. The SWIS contributes to 60 percent of the overall generation capacity in West Australia while the off-grid capacity contributes to 34 percent of overall generation.

Coal-based generation contributes to approximately 30 percent of the total SWIS generating capacity, however, gas-based generation is more prevalent in the off-grid and NWIS. The report also provides the industry structure and outlook on factors such as supply and demand, fuel mix, generation, trade & losses, followed by an overview of the scenario of renewable energy. It also provides Porter’s five forces analysis on factors such as supplier power, buyer power, barriers to new entrants, the intensity of rivalry, and the threat of substitutes.

Beroe gathers intelligence through primary sources that include industry experts, researchers, and consultants, as well as current suppliers, producers and distributors. Secondary sources can include business journals, newsletters, magazines, market research data, company sources, and industry associations. Following data collation, analysis, and strategic review, the Final Research Report is published on Beroe LiVE.

Report Coverage

Third-party Intermediaries and Profiling
Key Supplier Profile
Cost Structure Analysis
Price Trend and Forecast

West Australia Electricity Market Trend, Analysis & Forecast

Category Intelligence on West Australia Electricity covers the following

Information relating to market, supply, cost, and pricing analysis
Hard to find data on cost and TCO models, supplier details, and performance benchmarks
Macroeconomic and regional trends impacting cost, supply, and other market dynamics
Category-specific negotiation and sourcing advice

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Executive Summary

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Market Analysis

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Supply Analysis

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Cost & Pricing Analysis

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Best Practices

1. West Australia Electricity Executive Summary

1.1 Executive Summary

2. West Australia Electricity Market Analysis

2.1 Electricity Value Chain for Industrial Customers
2.2 Capacity
2.3 Supply and Demand
2.4 Fuel Mix
2.5 Supply Market Outlook
2.6 Market Consumption Outlook
2.7 Key Regulations and Policies Affecting Electricity Markets
2.8 Porter’s Five Forces Analysis

West Australia Electricity Industry Structure and Outlook

SWIS contributes to 60 percent of the overall generating capacity in West Australia and off-the-grid capacity contributes to 34 percent
The off-the-grid capacity is owned by private companies, especially mining companies use electricity for their industrial purpose
Coal-based generation contributes to about 30 percent of the total generating capacity in SWIS. Gas-based generation is more prevalent in off-the-grid and NWIS, contributing to 88 percent and 96 percent, respectively
The SWIS installed and operates over 7,800 kms of transmission lines from Kalbarri to Albany, and Perth to Kalgoorlie to supply 18 terawatt hours of electricity a year

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Supply and Demand

Electricity demand has increased by around 1.9 percent in 2016 compared to 2015
The lack of significant increase in demand was on the account of increase in demand-side management measures in Australia. Also, increase in the rooftop solar projects led to a decrease in the demand for electricity in the residential sector
Demand for electricity in the WEM is expected to witness a marginal increase.This is because of the Australian demographics, where the population growth in 2016 was 1.6 percent. Also, the interstate migration for West Australia is Negative (-5,600 people in 2015–2016)
Increase in domestic natural gas prices might have impacted the cost of generation and expected to ease as the proposed export restriction come into force

Fuel Mix

Coal, natural gas, and wind are the three components of the West Australian fuel mix, with coal and natural gas accounting for 48 percent and 42 percent of the total electricity generated, respectively
The Australian government has set a target of 20 percent renewable generation by 2020, but there has not been considerable change in renewable share in the fuel mix from 2014
In H1 2017, the share of renewable has increased to 8.2 percent compared to that of 7.3 percent in H1 2016. This is still below the 2016 target of 12.75 percent
The slower growth rate of renewables is because of the low investor confidence, on account of the revision of renewable target and repealing of carbon tax in 2014 which led to a stagnation of Large-scale renewable energy projects in Australia

Generation and Consumption Profile

According to the West Australian Energy Ministry, Australia has excess generation capacity of 1,060 MW. This helps the players in WEM to generate electricity, based on demand
Retailers pay the generators to maintain excess generation capacity to account for any spike in demand for electricity
Based on the demand forecast by the retailer, the generation capacity is managed. This cost is passed on to the customer

Electricity Suppliers Market Landscape

There are 29 electricity generating companies in SWIS, with a total capacity of 5,798 MW
Synergy, which is a government organization, dominates the electricity generation sector, with 48 percent of the capacity in WEM
Alinta Energy and NewGen Kwinana have a capacity share of 13 percent and 12 percent, respectively, making them the next highest generators in the SWIS region
Alinta is expected to have a strong contribution from coal power plants once the acquired Loy Yang B coal plant comes into operation

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