Diesel Market Intelligence

Diesel Market Overview

The share of diesel fuel in the transportation sector is expected to grow up to 32–35 percent by 2025 owing to improved economic growth and trade in the emerging and developing nations, leading to significant growth of the commercial transportation sector. APAC has the largest diesel consumption followed by Europe and North America. 

Buyers at present, have relatively higher bargaining power in the diesel fuel market. 

Having high energy density per unit volume, diesel is preferred in markets such as commercial heavy-duty vehicles, power generation, and in various other industrial applications for its high energy/thermal efficiency. Growing demand in heavy transport sector especially in emerging economies like China, India, Brazil, and Indonesia drives the demand for diesel fuel

By imposing “Clean Air Zones”, Governments around the world have put some restrictions to drive diesel vehicles. Increasing usage of alternative fuel vehicles, such as Compressed Natural Gas (CNG) and Liquefied Natural Gas (LNG) vehicles could hamper the diesel fuel market. 

Biofuels procurement intelligence shows that in large volume sourcing, the buyers look for companies that can scale up quickly and can store large inventories. Alternative fuels like CNG, LPG and biofuels do pose a threat, but the level of threat is relatively low as their penetration is slow.

Diesel Fuel - Global Industry Outlook

• The Global product demand for Diesel is forecasted to reach ~27 Mbpd by 2020
• Global demand for liquid fuel is expected to reach 100 million barrels/day (Mbpd) by 2019 (1.21 percent CAGR)
• Share of diesel fuel in the transportation sector is expected to grow from 30 – 32percent in 2016 to 32 – 35 percent by 2025
• Developing nations' higher demand for power and the inability of the existing infrastructure to reduce the demand is resulting in the growth of diesel generators industry at ~5 – 6 percent
• The growth in demand for diesel will be moderate in North America and Europe but will increase drastically in APAC, accelerated mainly by the increase of commercial vehicles, especially in India and other South Asian Countries
• Increasing concerns over carbon dioxide emissions and fuel efficiency has resulted in stricter regulation on fuels. Ability of the diesel fuel to reduce emissions as well as improve fuel efficiency is resulting in its higher demand
• According to diesel intelligence, the demand for Diesel by end-use industries in 2018 was Road 60%, Residential/Commercial/Agriculture 15%, Electricity Generation 8%, Rail and Domestic Waterways 5%, Marine Bunkers 4%, and Other Industry 8.
• Buyer is better placed during negotiations mainly because of supply exceeding the demand volumes in the diesel market, which has had an impact on the price of diesel. Prices have dipped at double digits over the last few years.

Diesel Fuel - North America Market Outlook

• The diesel demand forecast suggests that market demand in the North American region is estimated to be 4.4 million barrels/day in 2018
• The US and Canada together had a demand of 4.51 mb/d

Supplier Maturity

Diesel fuel suppliers are highly matured in North America and Europe, with intensive competition among the top global suppliers (ExxonMobil, BP, Shell) as there are no significant state owned oil companies in these regions.

• In the APAC and Middle East, though there is a significant presence of private suppliers, the diesel fuel market is dominated by the state owned.
• In Africa and LATAM, the presence of private suppliers is significantly low and the market is dominated by National Oil Companies (NOCs).

Why should you Buy this Report

The report mentions the diesel procurement best practices, saving opportunities and a Porter's Five Force Analysis. The report also covers diesel supply trends and insights in detail. It provides a profile overview and SWOT analysis of the key global suppliers like ExxonMobil, Royal Dutch Shell, Total S.A. etc. The report also includes diesel price breakup per gallon for North America, Europe, Africa, APAC, and LATAM regions.The report provides information on the opportunities and challenges that affect the diesel market in different regions. It provides insights into the supplier landscape and contract and pricing models followed. The report gives a value chain analysis and shows the diesel price forecast and breakdown for the APAC, MEA, LATAM and Europe regions. 

Methodology for writing this Report

Beroe gathers intelligence through primary sources that include industry experts, researchers, and consultants, as well as current suppliers, producers and distributors. Secondary sources can include business journals, newsletters, magazines, market research data, company sources, and industry associations. Following data collation, analysis, and strategic review, the Final Research Report is published on Beroe LiVE.