Diesel Market Intelligence

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COVID 19 impact on Diesel market

  • Impact of COVID is expected to keep the market demand low with supply levels high till Q2 2020
  • Prices are expected to decrease by 15 to 20% in Q’1-2020 on a q-o-q basis
  • Low price levels is expected to continue till Q2 2020 due to lock down in major countries of the world

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A comprehensive Diesel Report that answers these questions

A comprehensive Diesel Report that answers these questions

  • What are the key trends in Diesel category?
  • Am I paying the right price?
  • Am I working with the right supplier?
  • What are the major challenges and risks in Diesel industry?
  • How is Diesel industry performing?

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Report Coverage

The report provides insights on the following:

  • Global Diesel Fuel Trends
  • Regional market outlook- North America, LATAM, Europe, Africa, Middle East, APAC, MEA
  • Diesel Fuel Market Affecting Factors
  • Supply Trends and Insights
  • Information relating to market, supply, cost, and pricing analysis
  • Hard to find data on cost and TCO models, supplier details, and performance benchmarks
  • Macroeconomic and regional trends impacting cost, supply, and other market dynamics
  • Category-specific negotiation and sourcing advice

Production Size

Production Size North America

4.1 Mbpd

Production Size Europe

5.1 Mbpd

Production Size Asia Pacific (APAC)

6.54 Mbpd

Production Size Latin America (LATAM)

1.53 Mbpd

The share of diesel fuel in the transportation sector is expected to grow up to 32–35 percent by 2025 owing to improved economic growth and trade in the emerging and developing nations, leading to significant growth of the commercial transportation sector. APAC has the largest diesel consumption followed by Europe and North America. 

Buyers at present, have relatively higher bargaining power in the diesel fuel market. 

Having high energy density per unit volume, diesel is preferred in markets such as commercial heavy-duty vehicles, power generation, and in various other industrial applications for its high energy/thermal efficiency. Growing demand in heavy transport sector especially in emerging economies like China, India, Brazil, and Indonesia drives the demand for diesel fuel

By imposing “Clean Air Zones”, Governments around the world have put some restrictions to drive diesel vehicles. Increasing usage of alternative fuel vehicles, such as Compressed Natural Gas (CNG) and Liquefied Natural Gas (LNG) vehicles could hamper the diesel fuel market. 

Biofuels procurement intelligence shows that in large volume sourcing, the buyers look for companies that can scale up quickly and can store large inventories. Alternative fuels like CNG, LPG and biofuels do pose a threat, but the level of threat is relatively low as their penetration is slow.

Diesel Fuel - Global Industry Outlook

  • The Global product demand for Diesel is forecasted to reach ~27 Mbpd by 2020
  • Global demand for liquid fuel is expected to reach 100 million barrels/day (Mbpd) by 2019 (1.21 percent CAGR)
  • Share of diesel fuel in the transportation sector is expected to grow from 30 – 32percent in 2016 to 32 – 35 percent by 2025
  • Developing nations' higher demand for power and the inability of the existing infrastructure to reduce the demand is resulting in the growth of diesel generators industry at ~5 – 6 percent
  • The growth in demand for diesel will be moderate in North America and Europe but will increase drastically in APAC, accelerated mainly by the increase of commercial vehicles, especially in India and other South Asian Countries
  • Increasing concerns over carbon dioxide emissions and fuel efficiency has resulted in stricter regulation on fuels. Ability of the diesel fuel to reduce emissions as well as improve fuel efficiency is resulting in its higher demand
  • According to diesel intelligence, the demand for Diesel by end-use industries in 2018 was Road 60%, Residential/Commercial/Agriculture 15%, Electricity Generation 8%, Rail and Domestic Waterways 5%, Marine Bunkers 4%, and Other Industry 8.
  • Buyer is better placed during negotiations mainly because of supply exceeding the demand volumes in the diesel market, which has had an impact on the price of diesel. Prices have dipped at double digits over the last few years.

Diesel Fuel - North America Market Outlook

  • The diesel demand forecast suggests that market demand in the North American region is estimated to be 4.4 million barrels/day in 2018
  • The US and Canada together had a demand of 4.51 mb/d

diesel-global-market-size

Supplier Maturity

Diesel fuel suppliers are highly matured in North America and Europe, with intensive competition among the top global suppliers (ExxonMobil, BP, Shell) as there are no significant state owned oil companies in these regions.

  • In the APAC and Middle East, though there is a significant presence of private suppliers, the diesel fuel market is dominated by the state owned.
  • In Africa and LATAM, the presence of private suppliers is significantly low and the market is dominated by National Oil Companies (NOCs).

Why should you Buy this Report

The report mentions the diesel procurement best practices, saving opportunities and a Porter's Five Force Analysis. The report also covers diesel supply trends and insights in detail. It provides a profile overview and SWOT analysis of the key global suppliers like ExxonMobil, Royal Dutch Shell, Total S.A. etc. The report also includes diesel price breakup per gallon for North America, Europe, Africa, APAC, and LATAM regions.The report provides information on the opportunities and challenges that affect the diesel market in different regions. It provides insights into the supplier landscape and contract and pricing models followed. The report gives a value chain analysis and shows the diesel price forecast and breakdown for the APAC, MEA, LATAM and Europe regions. 

Methodology for writing this Report

Beroe gathers intelligence through primary sources that include industry experts, researchers, and consultants, as well as current suppliers, producers and distributors. Secondary sources can include business journals, newsletters, magazines, market research data, company sources, and industry associations. Following data collation, analysis, and strategic review, the Final Research Report is published on Beroe LiVE.

Table of contents

  1. Diesel Executive Summary
  2. Executive Summary - Global Demand Outlook
  3. Executive Summary - Global Supply Outlook
  1. Diesel Market Analysis
  2. Supplier Maturity
  3. Industry Trends
  4. Growth Drivers and Constraints
  5. Regional Market Outlook
  6. Porter's Five Forces Analysis
  1. Diesel Supply Analysis
  2. Supply Trends
  3. Top Suppliers Profiling
  4. Top Suppliers SWOT
  1. Diesel Price Break - up for Major Countries
  2. Diesel Price Trend for Major Countries
  3. Diesel Price Forecast for Major Countries

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Drivers

Energy Efficiency

  • Having a high energy density per unit volume, diesel is preferred in the markets, such as commercial heavy duty vehicles, power generation, and in various other industrial applications for its high energy/thermal efficiency. 

Heavy Transport Sector

  • Growing demand for heavy transport sector especially in the emerging economies like China, India, Brazil, and Indonesia drives the demand for diesel fuel

Taxation policies

  • Taxes imposed by most of the nations are less for diesel when compared to gasoline. Hence, diesel consumers enjoy a price advantage. However in the US, federal and local taxes on diesel are slightly higher than gasoline

Constraints

Environmental Policies

  • Stringent emission standards on diesel lowering sulfur emissions. By imposing “Clean Air Zones”, Governments around the world have put some restrictions to drive diesel vehicles

Alternative Fuel Vehicles

  • Increasing usage of alternative fuel vehicles, such as Compressed Natural Gas (CNG) and Liquefied Natural Gas (LNG) vehicles could hamper the diesel fuel market. Countries like the US and China are creating dense network of natural gas refueling stations

Diesel Market Frequently Asked Questions

  1. What is the expected market size of the diesel market? 
  2. As per Beroe’s report, the global demand for diesel is expected to reach 27 Mbpd by 2020. 

 

  1. Who are the major players in the diesel industry? 
  2. The key players in the global diesel market are APAC, followed by North America and Europe. 

 

  1. What are the latest trends in the diesel market?
  2. The latest trends in the diesel market are that the diesel fuel share in the transport sector is expected to increase, developing nations are expected to have a higher demand for power which is indirectly resulting in the growth of diesel generators. 

 

  1. What will be the expected growth of the diesel industry?
  2. As per Beroe’s diesel fuel price forecast, the industry is expected to grow at a CAGR of 30-32% by 2025. 

 

  1. What are the key drivers of the diesel market?
  2. The key drivers affecting the diesel price forecast long term are the rise of private suppliers and state-owned diesel market in APAC, Africa, LATAM and the Middle East

 

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