Castor Oil Market Trends
Category Intelligence on Castor Oil covers the following
- Information relating to market, supply, cost, and pricing analysis
- Hard to find data on cost and TCO models, supplier details, and performance benchmarks
- Macroeconomic and regional trends impacting cost, supply, and other market dynamics
- Category-specific negotiation and sourcing advice
Industry Outlook & Drivers
Global Market Outlook Of Castor Oil
Major sourcing destinations for castor oil are India, China, and Brazil. India contributes to about 90 percent of the world's production of castor oil, followed by Brazil and China. Global castor oil market supply is 0.6–0.7 Mn T and Brazil's current domestic supply meets only 72 percent of its demand. Higher production and transportation costs had reflected in the lower margin for suppliers, propelling the market to an unattractive position for the domestic manufacturers. Consequently, a higher price premium than the existing buyers of the market could give an edge for buying in the domestic market.
- Prices are hiking up this year with decreased supply and are expected to decrease slightly with new arrivals by the end of the year
- Seed cost is expected to increase slightly later this year, owing to decreased retention rates for sowing
- Supply has been observed to consecutively decline in the past few years, owing to a shift in cultivation to more remunerative crops, especially in India
- Demand for castor seeds is expected to increase drastically with the increase in the application of end-use industries of castor oil and its derivatives (primarily Sebacic acid)
- The risk associated with season have high influences on crop production, especially at the time of sowing
Supply–Demand Dynamics: Global
Castor oil prices are expected to soar in 2017–2018, owing to the huge gap in the supply-demand curve, however, the import market is expected to stagnate this season. Castor oil supply declined by 7 percent and beyond this year, as a reflection of drastic price slumps over 2015–2016. World imports have been observed to be increasing from 2015 by 14 percent in 2015–2016 and 6 percent in 2016–2017, due to a fall in prices. Lower prices for castor oil in 2015–2016, due to excess supply, reflected in a huge drop in the crop cultivation of 2016–2017 in India, Brazil, China, and other countries. The increasing trend in global consumption of castor oil in the import market has come to a halt this year at 690 Thd T, owing to excess stocks accumulated with higher purchases in 2015–2017
Global Castor Oil Market Outlook Trade Dynamics
This section of the report gives details of the global castor oil market share. Castor oil prices and availability are driven by various global factors that are detailed in this section of the report. Any standout past trends in the market demand are described. It details the castor oil production market share by the major producing countries. The global supply-demand analysis is presented graphically along with the castor oil market forecast. Global trade volumes, as well as the country-wise import and export statistics, are listed.
Regional Market Snapshot
The castor oil market trends differ in different geographical regions. This part of the report presents detailed facts about the regional castor oil market size, price trends, price drivers as well as the castor oil market forecast for each country. The castor oil market trends that are peculiar to each region and country are listed. The castor oil market share of exporting countries and the countries that they export to are listed. Importing countries and the market share of the countries that they import from are also given.
Supply–Demand Dynamics: Latin America
In spite of being one of the major supplying regions, Latin America loses its competitiveness with India, as the region's domestic consumption exceeds the supply.Castor seed production growth targets in Brazil, the key producing country in Latin America, has not been accomplished in 2016–2017 and has declined beyond 35 percent this year.Latin America currently contributes to approx. 25 Thd T of castor oil supply, the world's largest supplier in 1970–1980s. Imports surged in 2016–2017 beyond 50 percent to meet the raising demand in the region.Production in Brazil for castor seed and oil has been curbed over the years, owing to several factors, as in poor yields/ha, higher production costs, and transportation costs.Financial assistance from the government to promote castor cultivation for use of castor oil in the biodiesel industry has been terminated, owing to the high cost of cultivation. This has further decreased the attractiveness for castor in Brazil.
Industry Drivers And Constraints
The castor oil market demand is driven by the need for vegetable oils, edible oil as well as oils and fats used in the food industry. Changes in the industries that drive the demand affect the castor oil market trends. Weather patterns, customer preferences, and technological innovations also affect the demand in a positive or negative manner. This section of the report helps one fully comprehend the forces that change the castor oil market outlook.
Price Trend And Forecast
This section of the castor oil market report details the historical price trends in the recent past and the reasons for any big changes. It also details the castor oil market forecast based on price and demand.
