Air Freight Services Category Intelligence
Report Coverage
- Air Freght Cost Index-Trend Analysis
- Global Capacity–Demand Analysis
- Global Trade Dynamics
- Regional Market Snapshot-North America, Europe, Asia
- Cost Structure Analysis
Global Air Freight Market Trends
Category Intelligence on Global Air Freight covers the following
- Information relating to market, supply, cost, and pricing analysis
- Hard to find data on cost and TCO models, supplier details, and performance benchmarks
- Macroeconomic and regional trends impacting cost, supply, and other market dynamics
- Category-specific negotiation and sourcing advice
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Industry Outlook & Drivers
Global Market Outlook on Air Freight Services
- In Q1 2018, average global air freight prices have been increased by 5.44 percent compared to the same period last year. Freight rates have steadied from Q2 2018, the same trend is expected to continue
- Strong demand in the air freight market is having a strong impact on air freight rates in H2 2018 and considering tight capacity, the impact is expected to extend in Q3 and Q4 2018
- While specific lanes could witness double-digit growth in air freight rates moving into the peak season, trans-pacific eastbound and westbound routes, which have a volatile nature, are expected to face an increase of around 5 percent
Carriers and freight forwarders are willing to negotiate on established lanes of US–EU, since the market fluctuation is minimal and the volumes are high. However, on lanes connecting to Asia, negotiation is challenging since the market is highly unpredictable and risky
Air Freight Market Analysis
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In 2018, difference between demand and supply index would be starting to reduce with shipments volume growth starting to range between 3-4 percent annually while capacity available in the market would gradually increase, however starting mid of 2018, market demand is estimated to have growth of more than 6 percent compared to 2017
Supply Analysis
- Growth of capacity index has been gradually increasing since January 2018, available capacity in air freight market grew by 6.2 percentage in May compared to the same period previous year
- Sanctions and trade disputes between US and China had minimum impact on capacity as AFTK has been consistently growing by 1-3 percentage on a monthly basis leading up to the peak season
- However, during second half of the year, the shortage of available space in market and demand growth outpacing the capacity growth is expected to increase through to end of 2018 owing to the seasonal demand
- Challenge of capacity constraints are expected to continue in 2018 due to weak order book as well climatic disruptions in EU and North America
Demand Analysis
- There was a dip in the air freight demand in the first quarter of 2018 which soon recovered into Q2 2018, volumes have been steadily increasing majorly due to transpacific east bound volume to the destination in North America
- FTKs have increased to 4.2 percent in May, demand growth has been at a slow pace majorly due to factors such as lower purchasingmanager's index and global trade scenario. A modest FTK growth is expected through 2018, growth in the region of 2-4 percent over all
- In H1-2018, demand in air freight is driven by US –China trade volume ahead of trade sanctions and China –Europe trade which surged as shippers in China have rushed to deliver shipments to Europe to fulfill their volume commitment before European companies close for summer break
Regional Market Analysis
- All regions except for Africa have reported a steady growth in terms of freight volumes, North America, LATAM carriers and APAC carriers experienced growth in volume by more than 5 percent annually
- More than 5 percent of growth for North American and APAC carriers for the next half of the year would have strong impact on freight in the peak season of the year
Regional Demand Trend for Air Freight
- Carriers of EMEA and North America reported stronger growth in freight volumes, which is at the rate of 3.8 percent while EU recorded a growth of 3.3 percent
- African carriers saw a decrease in freight volumes by 8.5 percent in June comparing to the same period last year
- Major volume of transpacific and Asia-EU shipments share has been driven by carriers of APAC, MEA,EU and followed by North America which will set the tone for the upcoming peak season
Global Air Freight Rates
- Freight rates on major trade lanes reached their highest in July 2018, in spite of a slow market growth. Freight rates from Hong Kong to Europe trade have increased by 23.2 percent Y-o-Y. Frankfurt to North America lane also saw an increase by 24 percent Y-o-Y
- Freight rates have continued to grow at a steady phase for the past three months, and outlook for the rest of 2018 looks bright,however, individual carrier's decision to deploy excess capacities to high demand lanes may look effective to control increasing freight rates
Air Freight Market Frequently Asked Questions
- What’s the global market size of the air cargo market?
- As per Beroe’s air freight market analysis report, the global market size of the industry is $54.5 Bn.
- List the high maturity and medium maturity regions for the air freight industry?
- According to the cargo industry analysis report, North America and Western Europe fall in the high maturity regions for the industry, while regions like India, China, Australia, New Zealand, Europe, Brazil, and others fall in the category of medium maturity regions.
- What are the leading air freight market trends worth noticing?
- Beroe shares a quick air cargo industry overview and recent trends which primarily includes the following pointers:
-- It’s trickier to find data on costing, TCO models, supplier details, and performance benchmarks
-- Regional trends majorly impact the cost, supply and other dynamics of the air freight market
-- Air freight industry trends also include the negotiation and the sourcing part which is done based on specific categories
- Give a quick air freight and logistics industry overview from a global perspective.
- As per the air freight industry analysis report, there’s a gradual increase in the capacity index, while the available capacity in the air freight market grew by 6.2%. Also, trade disputes between the U.S. and China didn’t impact the capacity as AFTK has been consistently growing by 1 – 3% monthly. Another positive addition as per the air cargo industry statistics worth knowing is that regions like North America, LATAM carriers, and APAC carriers (except Africa) reported steady growth in terms of freight volumes by more than 5% annually. The EMEA showed a growth rate of 3.8%, while the EU recorded a growth of 3.3%.
